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2024 Tony Nominations Predictions

Last Updated: Monday, April 29th, 2024.

Tony Award for Best Musical

Shoo-Ins
Illinoise
The Outsiders
Suffs

On the Bubble
Lempicka
Hell’s Kitchen
Here Lies Love

Dark Horses
Days of Wine and Roses
Water for Elephants
The Notebook

Tony Award for Best Play

Shoo-Ins
Stereophonic
Mary Jane

On the Bubble
Jaja’s African Hair Braiding
Mother Play
Patriots
Prayer for the French Republic

Dark Horses
The Shark is Broken

Tony Award for Best Revival of a Musical

Shoo-Ins
Merrily We Roll Along

On the Bubble
Cabaret
The Who’s Tommy
The Wiz

Dark Horses
Gutenberg! The Musical
Spamalot

Tony Award for Best Revival of a Play

Shoo-Ins
Apropriate
Purlie Victorious

On the Bubble
An Enemy of the People
Doubt

Dark Horses
Uncle Vanya

Best Leading Actor in a Musical

Shoo-Ins
Jonathan Groff (Merrily we roll Along)

On the Bubble

Eddie Redmayne (Cabaret)
Ali Louis Bourzgui (Tommy
Brian D’arcy James (Days of Wine and Roses)
Chip Zien (Harmony)
Brody Grant (The Outsiders)
Jeremy Jordan (The Great Gatsby)
Dorian Harewood (The Notebook)
Grant Gustin (Water for Elephants)

Dark Horses
Casey Likes (Back to the Future)
Justin Guarini (Once Upon a One More Time)
Corey Cott (The Heart of Rock and Roll)
Josh Gad (Gutenberg)
Andrew Rannells (Gutenberg)

Best Leading Actress in a Musical

Shoo-Ins
Maleah Joi Moon (Hell’s Kitchen)
Maryann Plunkett (The Notebook)

On the Bubble
Kelli O’Hara (Days of Wine and Roses)
Eden Espinosa (Lempicka)
Shaina Taub (Suffs)
Eva Noblezada (The Great Gatsby)

Dark Horses
Arielle Jacobs (Here Lies Love)
Gayle Rankin (Cabaret)
Nichelle Lewis(The Wiz)

Best Leading Actor in a Play

Shoo-Ins
Jeremy Strong (An Enemy of the People)
Leslie Odom, Jr. (Purlie Victorious)

On the Bubble
Michael Stuhlbarg (Patriots)
Liev Schreiber (Doubt)

Dark Horses
Dally DeVito (I Need That)

Best Leading Actress in a Play

Shoo-Ins
Sarah Paulson (Apropriate)

On the Bubble
Rachel McAdams (Mary Jane)
Betsy Aidem (Prayer for the French Republic)
Jessica Lange (Mother Play)
Amy Ryan (Doubt)

Dark Horses

Best Director of a Musical

Shoo-Ins
Maria Friedman (Merrily We Roll Along)

On the Bubble
Alex Timbers (Here Lies Love)
Danya Taymor (The Outsiders)
Leigh Silverman (Suffs)
Jessica Stone (Water for Elephants)

Dark Horses
Des McAnuff (Tommy)
Justin Peck (Illinoise)
Rachel Chavkin (Lempicka)
Rebecca Frecknall (Cabaret)
Michael Greif (Days of Wine and Roses)
Michael Greif (Hell’s Kitchen)

Best Director of a Play

Shoo-Ins
Daniel Aukin (Stereophonic)

On the Bubble
Whitney White (Jaja’s African Hair Braiding)
Sam Gold (An Enemy of the People)
Lila Neugebauer (Appropriate)
Anne Kauffman (Mary Jane)
David Cromer (Prayer for the French Republic)
Kenny Leon (Purlie Victorious)

Dark Horses
Tina Landau (Mother Play)
Rupert Goold (Patriots)
Scott Ellis (Doubt)

Best Book of a Musical

Shoo-Ins
Suffs

On the Bubble
Illinoise
The Outsiders
Lempicka
Water for Elephants

Dark Horses
Hell’s Kitchen
Days of Wine and Roses

Best Original Music

Shoo-Ins
Suffs
Stereophonic

On the Bubble
The Outsiders
Lempicka
Here Lies Love
The Notebook

Dark Horses
Harmony

Best Choreography

Shoo-Ins
Illinoise
Hell’s Kitchen

On the Bubble
Water for Elephants
Cabaret
Tommy

Dark Horses
Here Lies Love
Once Upon a One More Time
The Heart of Rock and Roll
Lempicka

Best Orchestrations

Shoo-Ins
Suffs

On the Bubble
Hell’s Kitchen
Here Lies Love
The Outsiders
Merrily
Stereophonic

Dark Horses
The Heart of Rock and Roll
Water for Elephants

Best Scenic Design of a Musical

Shoo-Ins
Cabaret
Here Lies Love

On the Bubble
Back to the Future
Illinose

Dark Horses
Merrily We Roll Along
Guttenberg

Best Scenic Design of a Play

Shoo-Ins
Stereophonic

Oliver2024 Tony Nominations Predictions
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