2025 Tony Nomination Predictions

What we haven’t seen (yet): Floyd Colins, Gypsy, Just in Time, Pirates!, Purpose, Old Friends

Last Updated: Tuesday, April 29th, 2025

Tony Award for Best Musical

Shoo-Ins
Dead Outlaw
Maybe Happy Ending

On the Bubble
Buena Vista Social Club
Death Becomes Her
Operation Mincemeat
Real Women Have Curves

Dark Horses
Just in Time
Smash

Tony Award for Best Play

Shoo-Ins
John Proctor is the Villain
Oh, Mary!
Purpose

On the Bubble
Cult of Love
English
Good Night, and Good Luck
The Hills of California

Dark Horses
Job
Stranger Things

Tony Award for Best Revival of a Musical

Shoo-Ins
Gypsy
Sunset Boulevard

On the Bubble
Floyd Collins
Pirates!

Dark Horses
Elf
Once Upon a Mattress

Tony Award for Best Revival of a Play

Shoo-Ins
Eureka Day

On the Bubble
Glengarry Glen Ross
Yellow Face
Romeo + Juliet

Dark Horses
Our Town

Best Leading Actor in a Musical

Shoo-Ins
Andrew Durand (Dead Outlaw)
Darren Criss (Maybe Happy Ending)

On the Bubble
Jonathan Groff (Just in Time)
David Hyde Pierce (Pirates!)
Tom Francis (Sunset Blvd.)

Dark Horses
Jeremy Jordan (Floyd Collins)
David Cumming (Operation Mincemeat)
James Monroe Iglehart (A Wonderful World)
John Gallagher Jr. (Swept Away)
Grey Henson (Elf)

Best Leading Actress in a Musical

Shoo-Ins
Audra McDonald (Gypsy)
Nicole Scherzinger (Sunset Blvd.)

On the Bubble
Jasmine Amy Rogers (Boop)
Helen J Shen (Maybe Happy Ending)
Tatianna Córdoba (Real Women Have Curves)

Dark Horses
Jennifer Simard (Death Becomes Her)
Megan Hilty (Death Becomes Her)
Robyn Hurder (Smash)
Natasha Hodgson (Operation Mincemeat)
Idina Menzel (Redwood)
Sutton Foster (Once Upon a Mattress)
Adrienne Warren (The Last Five Years)

Best Leading Actor in a Play

Shoo-Ins
Cole Escola (Oh, Mary!)

On the Bubble
George Clooney (Good Night, and Good Luck)
Daniel Dae Kim (Yellow Face)
Jon Michael Hill (Purpose)
Kit Connor (Romeo + Juliet)

Dark Horses
Jake Gyllenhaal (Othello)
Peter Friedman (Job)
Peter Gallagher (Left on Tenth)
Harry Lennix (Purpose)
Louis McCartney (Stranger Things)
Denzel Washington (Othello)
Jim Parsons (Our Town)

Best Leading Actress in a Play

Shoo-Ins
Sadie Sink (John Proctor is the Villain)
Laura Donnelly (The Hills of California)
Sarah Snook (The Picture of Dorian Gray)

On the Bubble
Latanya Richardson Jackson (Purpose)
Mia Farrow (The Roommate)

Dark Horses
Sydney Lemmon (Job)
Julianna Margulies (Left on Tenth)
Rachel Zegler (Romeo + Juliet)

Best Director of a Musical

Shoo-Ins
David Cromer (Dead Outlaw)
Michael Arden (Maybe Happy Ending)
Jamie Lloyd (Sunset Boulevard)

On the Bubble
Saheem Ali (Buena Vista Social Club)
George C. Wolfe (Gypsy)

Dark Horses
Robert Hastie (Operation Mincemeat)
Sergio Trujillo (Real Women Have Curves)
Christopher Gattelli (Death Becomes Her)
Alex Timbers (Just in Time)
Susan Stroman (SMASH)
Matthew Bourne (Old Friends)
Tina Landau (Floyd Collins)
Lear deBessonet (Once Upon a Mattress)
Scott Ellis (Pirates!)

Best Director of a Play

Shoo-Ins
David Cromer (Good Night, and Good Luck)
Sam Pinkleton (Oh, Mary!)

On the Bubble
Trip Cullman (Cult of Love)
Knud Adams (English)
Danya Taymor (John Proctor is the Villain)
Phylicia Rashad (Purpose)
Sam Mendes (The Hills of California)

Dark Horses
Alex Timbers (All In)
Stephen Daldry (Stranger Things)
Kip Williams (Dorian Gray)
Leigh Silverman (Yellow Face)
Anna D. Shapiro (Eureka Day)