Best Musical

Oliver: Brantley & Green disagree here on who will win. Not surprising, as this is a highly contested category. Dear Evan Hansen is the current favorite but Brantley’s guess suggests he thinks the underdog Come from Away will pull off an upset. What’s interesting is that neither believes Come from Away deserves the win.

Best Play

Oliver: Though Brantley, Green & Roth (me) agree on who will win as of right now,
I’d like to see one of either Sweat or Indecent should win. Each of those shows marks the Broadway debut of Pulitzer Prize winning female playwrights.

Best Musical Revival

Oliver: They’re pretty on point here. I’d love to find someone who predicts differently, but not sure there will be anyone.

Best Play Revival

Oliver: Jitney is a solid prediction. It’ll be a heavy favorite going into Tony night.

Best Actor in a Musical

Oliver: Brantley’s review of Groundhog Day made it clear that he was on Team Karl, but I think Platt is the one and only rightful winner of this award.

Best Actress in a Musical

Oliver: Yup.

Best Actor in a Play

Oliver: Kline will have a big lead. I heard Denis Arndt was spectacular, though I saw his understudy go on.

Best Actress in a Play

Oliver: I’m a little surprised neither put Laura Linney (The Little Foxes) on their list. I think Linney has a solid chance of winning and am not yet sure which of the two I will be predicting to win myself.

Best Featured Actor in a Musical

Oliver: It’s certainly a battle between Creel and Steele. I think Creel should win and will probably win but Steele is a close enough second that it makes sense to include him on the list.

Best Featured Actress in a Musical

Oliver: ? ? ? oh man – Brantley’s predictions. I can’t even…I have no idea where he got that from. Mary Beth Peil will not and should not win. ? ? ?. Green has a more rational assessment of the category. I think Colella should win, and probably will win, though I’m not writing off Rachel Bay Jones just yet.

Best Featured Actor in a Play

Oliver: Both made solid predictions here. DeVito was well liked and a Tony would be a nice “Welcome to Broadway.”

Best Featured Actress in a Play

Oliver:Brantley’s confusing me again. He must have a thing with Featured Actresses.
Condola was great, but she’s not going to win in a category where she is competing against her co-star, Houdyshell, and Nixon (who is currently my pick).

Best Direction of a Musical

Oliver: This is really interesting. I agree with both that Chavkin should win. Given that Brantley believes Come From Away will win Best Musical, it makes sense that he thinks Greif will win Best Director. I spoke about how these categories might counterbalance one another in my initial analysis on Nomination day. With Green predicting that Dear Evan Hansen will win the Tony for Best Musical, I would have expected him to go with Chavkin or Christopher Ashley (Come From Away) for the win for Best Director. The only reason I see a voter going for a Grief win here is to give Hansen the props they didn’t give it at the top of the ballot.

Best Direction of a Play

Oliver: It sounds like I have to go see Oslo before Tony night. Bartlett Sher is no stranger to the Tony race, but I feel like there are other nominees who could easily win including Rebecca Taichman (Indecent) and Daniel Sullivan (The Little Foxes).

Best Book of a Musical

Oliver: People have been going gaga for Levenson’s book since before the Broadway Production of Dear Evan Hansen.

Best Score of a Musical

Oliver: Dear Evan Hansen has a good shot at taking both writing awards, and Brantley & Green’s predictions align with the majority industry consensus.