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2022 Tony Awards Nominations Predictions

In case you didn’t know, we’re obsessed with predicting the Tony Awards. We’re getting ready for this year’s Tony Award by publishing our predictions for nominations in each category here.

What we haven’t seen (yet): American Buffalo; Birthday Candles; Chicken & Biscuits; for colored girls…; Lackawanna Blues; The Minutes; Take Me Out; The Skin of Our Teeth

Last Updated: Sunday, May 8th, 2022.

Tony Award for Best Musical

Shoo-Ins
A Strange Loop
Six

Very Likely
Girl From The North Country

On the Bubble
MJ The Musical
Mr. Saturday Night
Paradise Square

Dark Horses
Flying Over Sunset

Tony Award for Best Play

Shoo-Ins
The Lehman Trilogy
Skeleton Crew

On the Bubble
Clyde’s
Dana H.
Is This a Room
POTUS
The Minutes
Pass Over
Birthday Candles

Dark Horses
Chicken & Biscuits
Thoughts of a Colored Man

Tony Award for Best Revival of a Musical

Shoo-Ins
Caroline, Or Change
Company

On the Bubble
Funny Girl
The Music Man

Dark Horses

Tony Award for Best Revival of a Play

Shoo-Ins
How I Learned to Drive

On the Bubble
for colored girls who have considered suicide / when the rainbow is enuf
Lackawanna Blues
The Skin of Our Teeth
Trouble in Mind

Dark Horses
American Buffalo
Macbeth
Plaza Suite
Take Me Out

Best Leading Actor in a Musical

Shoo-Ins
Myles Frost (MJ)

On the Bubble
Jaquel Spivey (A Strange Loop)
Rob McClure (Mrs. Doubtfire)
Hugh Jackman (The Music Man)

Dark Horses
Billy Crystal (Mr. Saturday Night)
Ramin Karimloo (Funny Girl)
Jay O. Sanders (Girl from the North Country)

Best Leading Actress in a Musical

Shoo-Ins
Joaquina Kalukango (Paradise Square)
Sharon D Clarke (Caroline, or Change)

On the Bubble
Sutton Foster (The Music Man)
Mare Winningham (Girl from the North Country)
Adrianna Hicks (Six)
Andrea Macasaet (Six)
Abby Mueller (Six)
Brittney Mack (Six)
Samantha Pauly (Six)
Anna Uzele (Six)

Dark Horses
Jeanna De Waal (Diana)
Jenn Gambatese (Mrs. Doubtfire)
Katrina Lenk (Company)
Beanie Feldstein (Funny Girl)
Carmen Cusack (Flying Over Sunset)

Best Leading Actor in a Play

Shoo-Ins
Sam Rockwell (American Buffalo)

On the Bubble
Simon Russell Beale (The Lehman Trilogy)
Adam Godley (The Lehman Trilogy)
Adrian Lester (The Lehman Trilogy)
David Morse (How I Learned to Drive)
Laurence Fishburne (American Buffalo)

Dark Horses
Matthew Broderick (Plaza Suite)
David Threlfall (Hangmen)
James Vincent Meredith (The Skin of our Teeth)
Daniel Craig (Macbeth)

Best Leading Actress in a Play

Shoo-Ins
Deirdre O’Connell (Dana H.)
LaChanze (Trouble In Mind)

On the Bubble
Sarah Jessica Parker (Plaza Suite)
Gabby Beans (The Skin of Our Teeth)
Ruth Negga (Macbeth)
Debra Messing (Birthday Candles)

Dark Horses
Emily Davis (Is This a Room)
Roslyn Ruff (The Skin of Our Teeth)

Best Director of a Musical

Shoo-Ins
Stephen Brackett (A Strange Loop)
Lucy Moss & Jamie Armitage (Six)
Marianne Elliot (Company)

On the Bubble
Michael Longhurst (Caroline, or Change)
Conor McPherson (Girl from the North Country)

Dark Horses
James Lapine (Flying Over Sunset)
Moises Kaufman ( Paradise Square)

Oliver2022 Tony Awards Nominations Predictions
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